13 players alive
likely 4-6 mafia
meaning our chances to hit outside of the 3 names r honestly more or less the same, if not even better
the only advantage of hitting in the 3 is that if we hit mafia there we can clear the other 2. thats obviously assuming jeff's ability is legit
17 players
2 survivors, 11 town, 4 mafia makes most sense i guess? its a bit too big of a mafia number considering how fked up our cops r. maybe only 3 mafia and 12 town
anyway 3-4 mafia is my best guess. lets say worst case scenario 4 mafia
we have:
jeff's result says 1 / 3 mando holt SA is scum
that leaves 3 / 10 players outside of the result as scum. one of these 10 players is an indie so we have basically 3/9 scum outside of the result and 1/3 inside of it, assuming its a team of 4
tl;dr if this math checks out, we have the same chance lynching outside the 3 names as we have lynching inside of it. anyone asking me why am i voting lethal when i scum read them already need to find better content