I'd actually like for HHH to win it in his return and last throughout the whole match from beginning to end. but that ain't happening.
Punk has been around the main event scene getting dismantled by Taker, Jeff, Rey, Big Show, Dave, Kane, and JBL the past 2 years. Of those guys he has only been booked strong against Jeff and JBL so it isn't saying much either especially since the majority of his reign was on the b brand to boot.
Miz like Punk can get his ass handed to him just as easily by Cena or Orton as history has showed us and get more heat while doing so without needing a group around him to give him more credibility.