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Best news I could've woken up to. Lesnar's staying so he HAS to retain. He has to keep the title until RAW after WM31 and get cashed in on, possibly hurting himself in the process which leads to a break before he returns to take back the title. Lesnar vs Bryan, Lesnar vs Rock, Lesnar vs Sheamus, Lesnar vs Ambrose, Lesnar vs Cesaro and Lesnar vs Ryback are all matches I'd like to see so they can keep him being the beast nobody can beat until WrestleMania 32. No point having Reigns beat Lesnar in what has been the worst RTWM ever and Reigns being less over than any of the guys I listed above.
Why not just cash in at Mania itself then? It'd not only be more historical (no one's ever cashed in on the grand stage before) but Lesnar would have just exhausted himself with a long match. That'd be the perfect opportunity for Rollins to zone in.
I think it's Reigns who HAS to win here. He most likely will.
No need for the 'E to kill the guy just like that by having him lose, but hey, you never know when WWE might be like "Swerve! lol".
Reigns losing isn't really 'killing' him. He'd only lose credibility (and even then, it's arguable how much) if he's demolished and brought down by Lesnar with great ease or something. If Reigns goes down fighting and ends up 'bringing the pain' to Brock Lesnar in the process and has him walking away sore after the match, he'd still look like a bad-ass and might even gain the respect and admiration of some of the fans back. Think Wrestlemania 13 with Austin - he lost the match but the way the ending was booked with him refusing to submit to Bret's Sharpshooter even while he was busted open with blood pouring out of his skull is what earned him the nickname "the toughest SOB in the WWF" and what helped aid his popularity big time. This would be a bit different of a scenario, obviously, but similar.