Choose whether President Trump or Joe Biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral votes and what their chance is of winning the Electoral College.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
I'm personally predicting this outcome for the election:
Biden: Minnesota, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Washington, Oregon, California, Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, Hawaii, Ohio, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Maine
Trump: Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Utah, Alaska, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota, North Dakota, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, South Carolina, North Carolina, Kentucky, Indiana, West Virginia
The US will be split right down the middle 25/25, but Biden wins the swing states of Iowa, Arizona, Colorado, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin.
Biden wins the election 310-224 against Donald Trump.
I think the margin for error on my prediction is pretty good all things considered, I expect either Georgia, Texas, or Florida to actually pull a surprise Biden nom.
Feel free to call me crazy Swamps if you disagree with this model.