I just see this going the exact same way as the Machida fight tbh, everyone thought it'd be Jones' biggest test but Machida was apprehensive for a couple of rounds before getting choked out.
Jones is a near complete fighter, only thing he doesnt really have is one punch KO power. Rashad is a one trick pony.
Just don't see this being a great fight at all, or even a close one. Rashad will try a bunch of takedowns, get them all stuffed then fight like Condit for 4 rounds. As long as Jones doesnt fight stupid like in the Rampage fight hes got this sewn up (stop trying that fucking crane kick like Machida and Anderson did). Shad isnt as good as people give credit for, hes been in a ton of close fights with mediocre fighters.
Bones by UD in a snoozefest.