So after rereading the whole thread these are my reads:
1. Jeffatron - had Haza as his main target for the entirety of d1, all of their interactions point towards them not being aligned with each other.
2. Undeniable - town on play as well as the first guy to make a move on Haza d1 in case anybody still needed to make sure
4. Odo - has been the main driving force behind the Mitch wagon but for reasons that made sense. Agreed with Haza, Mitch and Brutus being good directions for d1. Magic has been doubting his d1 play for whatever that's worth. "Turns out I'm pretty good at this game" post after Mitch was "caught lying" about his role looks like a guy who legit thought he'd caught scum. Immediately annihilated Hazas claim. If Brutus is scum this will only strengthen this town read since I'm pretty sure Odo doesn't soft bus two of his teammates d1.
6. V.Sky - posts seem uncharacteristically chummy and reasonable, makes me think something's up. However her interactions with Haza make it pretty much impossible for them to be aligned.
7. Ace Dalton - first post said Haza and Brutus are probably our best choices but wasn't convinced on either. Then later gave Haza and Brutus as town reads towards the end of d1. Somehow his vote on Mitch was the one Haza took the most issue with and then Haza tried to shade Ace for arriving just in time to hammer Mitch. Also some shade by Haza early d2, likely not aligned. Probably the weakest town read out of these, barely qualifies as such.
8. NotBrutus - Haza pretty much ignored Brutus until we asked him for a read and then gave a weird "Brutus has altered his meta recently" read that made no sense. Interactions with Haza have been basically non-existant throughout. Shaded Hazas claim only after Odo and Jeff in particular had already smashed it to bits so no points there. Immediately ran with Hazas accusations of me killing Magic, somehow I doubt that he on his own would be able to decipher what Haza was talking about in less than two minutes, I think it's more likely that he knew from their QT that their shot on me had failed and they defaulted to thinking that I'm the BP SK. I'm pretty convinced he's scum at this stage and would encourage the vig to pay him a visit.
10. Rugrat - General demeanor seems more like town Rugrat, as scum he tends to get involved earlier than he did here I think. Other than that, went from "I'm hesitant to lynch Mitch" from "I'm probably gonna lynch Mitch" within 6 minutes, back to "I'm probably gonna hold off from voting for now" 5 minutes after that. Called bullshit on Hazas claim early on but notably voted him a couple posts later when people agreed that the claim was fake. Ultimately not enough to really lean to either side.
11. Big Man - First post sees him take Hazas and Brutus' side. Weirdly, when Haza dissected the later part of the Mitch wagon, he quoted Big Mans vote and said that "they" (scum) must have been getting desperate to vote Mitch off, yet when asked by Sky, Haza said that he sussed Sky, Rugrat and Ace, but very notably not Big Man. Asks Haza about that dissection post but in what I perceive to be a chummy tone. Could very well be aligned with Haza.
12. Mr.Tweetums - not scum for reasons already established, will claim tomorrow
13. Shawn - not aligned with Haza off of d1 interaction. Not the most present poster but his reads list pretty much mirrors mine once again, pointing towards similar frames of mind and therefore alignments.
14. Doddsy - spends his first couple posts mainly defending Haza, which needless to say looks bad in hindsight. Wanted to lynch Brutus over Mitch when Mitch was one vote away from what we thought would be the hammer. Both those things cancel each other out but I think people said he likes to bus quite a bit, so even if Brutus flips scum I could see Doddsy being scum as well.
15. PHEN0M - votes Brutus first post in, therefore very likely town if Brutus is scum. Also voted Haza to draw the claim so very likely town even if Brutus is town. Classic PHEN0M, very few posts but enough to warrant a town read.
The main thing to take away here is that imho Brutus should be killed or lynched ASAP because his flip is gonna give us a ton of information. I'm with Odo in that I think the starting split is most likely 11/3/1 or 11/4 or maybe even 10/3/1/1, especially seeing how packed with roles Haza was. I expect the rest of the scum team to be about equally powerful.
All I can say is if we have a vig they shouldn't shoot me, I'm not the SK and I will claim without pressure tomorrow.
1. Jeffatron - had Haza as his main target for the entirety of d1, all of their interactions point towards them not being aligned with each other.
2. Undeniable - town on play as well as the first guy to make a move on Haza d1 in case anybody still needed to make sure
4. Odo - has been the main driving force behind the Mitch wagon but for reasons that made sense. Agreed with Haza, Mitch and Brutus being good directions for d1. Magic has been doubting his d1 play for whatever that's worth. "Turns out I'm pretty good at this game" post after Mitch was "caught lying" about his role looks like a guy who legit thought he'd caught scum. Immediately annihilated Hazas claim. If Brutus is scum this will only strengthen this town read since I'm pretty sure Odo doesn't soft bus two of his teammates d1.
6. V.Sky - posts seem uncharacteristically chummy and reasonable, makes me think something's up. However her interactions with Haza make it pretty much impossible for them to be aligned.
7. Ace Dalton - first post said Haza and Brutus are probably our best choices but wasn't convinced on either. Then later gave Haza and Brutus as town reads towards the end of d1. Somehow his vote on Mitch was the one Haza took the most issue with and then Haza tried to shade Ace for arriving just in time to hammer Mitch. Also some shade by Haza early d2, likely not aligned. Probably the weakest town read out of these, barely qualifies as such.
8. NotBrutus - Haza pretty much ignored Brutus until we asked him for a read and then gave a weird "Brutus has altered his meta recently" read that made no sense. Interactions with Haza have been basically non-existant throughout. Shaded Hazas claim only after Odo and Jeff in particular had already smashed it to bits so no points there. Immediately ran with Hazas accusations of me killing Magic, somehow I doubt that he on his own would be able to decipher what Haza was talking about in less than two minutes, I think it's more likely that he knew from their QT that their shot on me had failed and they defaulted to thinking that I'm the BP SK. I'm pretty convinced he's scum at this stage and would encourage the vig to pay him a visit.
10. Rugrat - General demeanor seems more like town Rugrat, as scum he tends to get involved earlier than he did here I think. Other than that, went from "I'm hesitant to lynch Mitch" from "I'm probably gonna lynch Mitch" within 6 minutes, back to "I'm probably gonna hold off from voting for now" 5 minutes after that. Called bullshit on Hazas claim early on but notably voted him a couple posts later when people agreed that the claim was fake. Ultimately not enough to really lean to either side.
11. Big Man - First post sees him take Hazas and Brutus' side. Weirdly, when Haza dissected the later part of the Mitch wagon, he quoted Big Mans vote and said that "they" (scum) must have been getting desperate to vote Mitch off, yet when asked by Sky, Haza said that he sussed Sky, Rugrat and Ace, but very notably not Big Man. Asks Haza about that dissection post but in what I perceive to be a chummy tone. Could very well be aligned with Haza.
12. Mr.Tweetums - not scum for reasons already established, will claim tomorrow
13. Shawn - not aligned with Haza off of d1 interaction. Not the most present poster but his reads list pretty much mirrors mine once again, pointing towards similar frames of mind and therefore alignments.
14. Doddsy - spends his first couple posts mainly defending Haza, which needless to say looks bad in hindsight. Wanted to lynch Brutus over Mitch when Mitch was one vote away from what we thought would be the hammer. Both those things cancel each other out but I think people said he likes to bus quite a bit, so even if Brutus flips scum I could see Doddsy being scum as well.
15. PHEN0M - votes Brutus first post in, therefore very likely town if Brutus is scum. Also voted Haza to draw the claim so very likely town even if Brutus is town. Classic PHEN0M, very few posts but enough to warrant a town read.
The main thing to take away here is that imho Brutus should be killed or lynched ASAP because his flip is gonna give us a ton of information. I'm with Odo in that I think the starting split is most likely 11/3/1 or 11/4 or maybe even 10/3/1/1, especially seeing how packed with roles Haza was. I expect the rest of the scum team to be about equally powerful.
All I can say is if we have a vig they shouldn't shoot me, I'm not the SK and I will claim without pressure tomorrow.
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