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I think that Overeem will win it. He has a proven track record and should be able to account for all of those left in the tournament. Tough tournament to predict though and I am sure there will be a few more surprises before the tournament is over.
75 on the Reem himself. He's got the skill, the power, the striking, I don't see anyone subbing him or knocking him out. I don't see any huge challenges for him. Overeem wins and then signs with the UFC and becomes the UFC HW Champion.