im know im late jumping in here but you dont have a statistical discussion without me. First of all, just let me explain and brek things down.
The average fan base for the WWE is around 5 million. Thats not to say i doesnt fluctuate up or down, but that's where the needle leveled out this month.
The WWE can usually expect 200-250k buys on any given PPV. Or in buyrate terms: .5 or .6
That means that WWE can expect at the very least, 1 out of every 20 fans to purchase a PPV.
However, WM is different. 1 million buys is equivalent to a 2.45 buyrate, or 1 out of every 5 WWE fans purchasing, which is what they did last year.
However, 1.9 million buys would break down into a 4.52 PPV buyrate, or 2 out of very 5 fans buying, which is 40% of the entire fanbase.
That number is rediculous and if anyone is actually beliving that crap, well iv'e got plenty of wolf tickets to sell you.
The number to look for would be anywhere from 800k to 1.2 million buys. With 800k being the very lowest.
There is one very major flaw with this arguement. You are only considering the US fan base of approximately 5 million (and I think it is more than that as well) you are completely ignoring the international WWE fan base. PPVs are available worldwide and I think that the normal percentage of international buys is 40% of the buyrate. The worldwide WWE fanbase would be well over 10 million and so the numbers you posted are incorrect
WrestleMania 28 Buys
F4Wonline.com is reporting that based on early word from cable companies, projected numbers for WrestleMania 28 buys is around 1.1 million buys. The report says the company lowered expectations on the day of the show from 1.3 million to 1 million.
Even More on WMania 28 Buys
As of this writing, it's looking like like WrestleMania 28 drew approximately 635,000-700,000 buys in the United States alone. This does not include PPV buys in Canada. Last year's show drew 679,000 'domestic' buys, however that includes US, Canada and Puerto Rico.
While projections are that WWE will break 1 million buys for the PPV, these are all first-week estimates. WWE is not expected to release the final numbers until the end of May.
Will be interesting to see what it turns out as I wouldn't expect him to come out saying it broke records without actually having some proper sources unlike the ESPN guy."BREAKING NEWS: Wrestlemania 28 sets all time PPV buys & one day global gross record. #TeamBringItWorldwide THANK YOU!" he wrote.
Johnson competed in the main event of WrestleMania XXVIII, defeating John Cena.
* WWE flashes a graphic touting WrestleMania 28's 1.3 million pay-per-view buys.
WWE announced that WrestleMania XXVIII, held April 1 at Sun Life Stadium in Miami, set new records for pay-per-view buys and gross sales.
Preliminary estimates show that WrestleMania, featuring the historic “Once in a Lifetime” Match between The Rock and John Cena, garnered 1.3 million pay-per-view buys with global gross sales in excess of $67 million including the live event.
WrestleMania was seen around the world on pay-per-view in more than 105 countries and 20 languages.
http://www.wwe.com/shows/wrestlemania/28/wrestlemania-ppv-record
i believe 1.3 million would be more buys than any boxing or ufc card ever.