UFC 130 Fight Card and Predictions From the Fight Fix

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SBNation's Luke Thomas and Fight Fix host Dustin Green talk UFC 130: what the cancellation of main event title fight between Frankie Edgar and Gray Maynard will mean for pay per view buys; whether Quinton "Rampage" Jackson can carry a PPV; the hidden gems on the card; and Luke will make his predictions for the fights.





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Transcription in the full entry.



Transcription:

21 secs, on how badly losing Edgar-Maynard III hurts UFC 130: "I don't think it hurts that badly. It's certainly problematic. It was the crown and jewel of the card. It was the only fight for a title. But if you look at the card - this wasn't UFC 129, this wasn't UFC 126, not all of them can be. The charm of this card is that it had a bunch of UFC stars - mid-tier stars - in important fights. All of the fights are still important, but the reality is the rematch between Edgar & Maynard didn't do that well on pay-per-view. There was a lot of buzz about it. So, does it hurt the card? Yes. Does it substantially hurt the card in terms of pay-per-view buys? I don't think it actually does hurt that bad."

1:06, on whether or not Rampage as the main event can make up for Edgar-Maynard III: "Yea, so I said previously that there were no huge stars. Rampage is obviously a pretty big star, but this fight's kinda complicated. I wanna be very sensitive about this. Can Rampage do a lot for this card? Well obviously. Rampage is a huge star for the UFC. He's been a former champion. But there's questions about his enthusiasm, about the fight promotion process. To what extent is he gonna actually be involved in the heavy lifting now that Edgar & Maynard aren't there to even do any interviews. It's kind of problematic. And one thing that needs to be known abut Matt Hamill - listen everyone loves Matt Hamill. I'm a Matt Hamill fan. I'm sure you are as well. But I do think in terms of his ability to get out there and do promotion - I want to be very sensitive about this - his disability does kind of hamper him a little bit, right? He can't get on the phone and do phone interviews and a lotta guys get out and do that. And as a consequence, leading into a fight, he's a little bit M.I.A. heading into it. Now again, he's a top level competitor. I think quite frankly he's got a bit of an upset here on his hands if he can make it happen against Rampage. But the heavy lifting, as I mentioned before, is gonna be on Rampage. Is he willing to do it? I don't know."

2:16, on the rest of card: "I think this is actually an excellent card. Again, is it UFC 129? No. Is it Jake Shields and George St. Pierre? No. But I tell you what, there are some awesome, awesome, awesome fights on this card. First, now on the pay-per-view card - it was previously gonna be on Spike TV - Rick Story taking on Thiago Alves. I'm telling, take my word: that is going to be a barn burner. And, more importantly, it's important for the welterweight division and those 2 guys' careers. More importantly, Brian Stann vs Jorge Santiago. Jorge Santiago arguably had the fight of the year last year against Kazuo Misaki. Brian Stann had that BOMB of a performance against Chris Leben. Another important fight for the middleweight division and kind of a classic striker vs grappler fight. I think - Nelson & Mir, Struve-Browne - lotta good fights on that card actually."

3:03, on the future of the 155lb division: "It's problematic, right? It was supposed to be that there was gonna be a winner here and then we were gonna find out who some contenders were gonna be with this Anthony Pettis-Clay Guida fight. And, I quite frankly think that this Ben Henderson-Jim Miller fight might also tell us little bit about contenders. Now we got a lil' bit of an issue. I think if the fight gets delayed long enough, I personally believe the winner of Henderson vs Miller is probably gonna fight Pettis vs Guida - the winner of that fight - for a title shot. It creates a lot of problems. Would an interim title belt help things? I think it would actually kind of complicate matters. But I will say the longer this gets pushed off, the more contenders get pushed into important fights and win them, and create hierarchy without a championship resolution there. The UFC 155lb division is in turmoil to be candid."

3:51, main event & co-main event picks: "Main event - I definitely like Rampage to win the fight, although I do think it's a question about his motivation. Matt Hamill is a little bit past his athletic prime, but I think he's a helluva competitor. Strong guy. I just think the way in which he's gonna go for takedowns - Rampage has a natural double-underhook defense that...I dunno...I think that Hamill's gonna have a hard time getting around. But, if Rampage comes in unprepared, I do expect Hamill to be a live dog there. In the co-main event: Frank Mir, Roy Nelson - I kinda like Roy Nelson big there. I'm not too high on Frank Mir's offensive wrestling. And I think that he's got a bit of a Jiu Jitsu mentality even when he strikes, which is...they always say 'use what they give you, use what they give you.' I don't mean he's a defensive fighter or even a counter fighter, but he kinda, a little bit, let's the other guy set the pace, which is the kinda fight Roy Nelson loves. I also think he's a better and harder striker over the long haul. I like Roy Nelson there."