The Political Thread

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Tommy Shelby

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Keir Starmer better show our country some leadership. Those who attacked police shouldn't of done that either attacking a mosque isn't the solution we should unite as one and strength comes in unity not division.
 

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GLAAD Paid For CEO’s Lavish Spending, Documents Reveal​

A Pattern of Lavish Spending at a Leading L.G.B.T.Q. Nonprofit​

GLAAD paid for its chief executive to fly first-class, rent a Cape Cod house and remodel her home office. It may have violated I.R.S. rules.
 

Tommy Shelby

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She needs to be charged with multiple federal charges and jailed.
 

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CARACAS, Venezuela (AP) — The U.S. government on Thursday recognized Venezuelan opposition candidate Edmundo González as the winner of the South American country’s presidential election, discrediting the results announced by electoral authorities who declared President Nicolás Maduro the victor.

“Given the overwhelming evidence, it is clear to the United States and, most importantly, to the Venezuelan people that Edmundo González Urrutia won the most votes in Venezuela’s July 28 presidential election,” U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said in a statement.
 
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Tommy Shelby

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Can Nigel Farage just Fig Off and stop the figgin b.s as this country has just had three young children murdered and nine attempts of attempted murder against those young tiny innocent children we see the moderate voters figging know . So what if he was a black guy he will never get out of jail and he will be put in a maximum security as prisoners with children and have commited crime of way less significant then this wouldn't let him live we know this but at a time of where the country should be united and not start race hatred. FFS we are living in the most turbulent times.

Hatred won't of any section of society bring anything but more killings and more death. Farage is nothing but a grifter.

My heart goes out to the families of this horrific murdered children and the attempt of the other nine young kids.
 

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Chris

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Chevron, the second-largest U.S. oil company, is moving its headquarters to Houston, from California, formalizing a long-expected breakup with a state that has pushed aggressively to address climate change.

The company’s ties to California date to the 1870s. Chevron said it already had roughly 7,000 employees in the Houston area and around 2,000 at its current headquarters in San Ramon, Calif., near San Francisco.

The State of California sued Chevron and other large oil companies last year, claiming that they misled the public about the risks of fossil fuels, the extraction of use of which are a leading cause of climate change.
 

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The 5th US Circuit Court of Appeals narrowed the scope of the Voting Rights Act for redistricting cases in a large swath of the South, ruling against the Justice Department and voters of color who had challenged Galveston, Texas’s county commission map for how it been redrawn to dismantle a district where minorities made up a majority of the population.

The conservative appeals court on Thursday reversed its previous precedent that allowed multiple minority groups to join together in challenges to redistricting plans alleged to be discriminatory under the VRA.

Circuit Judge Edith Jones, a Reagan appointee, wrote in the majority opinion that so-called coalition districts are “inconsistent with the text” of the Voting Rights Act.
 

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Grimoire Lenin

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Kamala Harris Leads in 8 National Polls

Kamala Harris is now leading her opponent, Donald Trump, in eight national polls.

The new polls show the presumptive Democratic nominee is leading the former president by between 1 and 4 points.

RMG Research is the latest pollster to find Harris leading Trump in the national popular vote. The firm released a survey on Friday showing her with a 5-point lead (47 percent to 42percent) over the former president. The poll was conducted among 3,000 registered voters from July 29 to July 31.

A poll conducted by Civiqs between July 27 and July 30 also showed Harris with a 5-point lead over Trump. Among 1,123 registered voters, Harris leads Trump 49 percent to 45 percent. Her lead is outside the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Harris is ahead of the Republican presidential nominee by 3 points in a poll by Leger conducted between July 26 and July 28. The poll, which surveyed 1,002 U.S. residents and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, showed she was leading Trump with 49 percent of the vote to his 46 percent. That represents a 4-point increase for the Democrat since Leger's June poll.

When third-party candidates were included in the Leger poll, Harris' lead over Trump grew to 7 points, to 48 percent, compared to the former president's 41 percent.

Harris had a smaller lead of 2 points over Trump in four other national polls. These include a poll conducted by The Economist and YouGov, where the vice president polled at 46 percent among 1,434 registered voters—a lead within the poll's 3 percent margin of error.


The other polls, conducted between July 23 and July 30 by Redfield and Wilton Strategies, Angus Reid, and Florida Atlantic University, showed Harris leading by 2 points—within each poll's margin of error.

Harris' lead was smallest in a poll of 2,223 registered U.S. voters conducted by Morning Consult between July 26 and July 28. She led Trump by 1 point—47 percent to the former president's 46 percent. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Newsweek reached out to representatives for Trump and Harris for comment via email.

Since she launched her campaign two weeks ago, polls have been largely positive for Harris. They show that she has narrowed the gap on Trump compared to when President Joe Biden was on the ticket. Polls have also shown the vice president leading in multiple swing states that could play a pivotal role in deciding the election in November.

However, a number of polling experts still believe Trump is still the current favorite to win in November.

According to election analyst and statistician Nate Silver, while Harris is more likely to win the popular vote, Trump has a greater chance of winning the Electoral College.

Silver's model shows that Trump has a 54.9 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, while Harris' chances stand at 44.6 percent. In the popular vote, Harris has a 53.5 percent chance of winning, while Trump has a 46.5 percent chance.

The model also showed Harris as a slight favorite to win Michigan, giving her about a 54 percent chance to carry the state, while Trump had about a 46 percent chance. Wisconsin, another crucial battleground, was tied, with each candidate having a 50 percent chance of carrying it in November.

It gave Trump a narrow edge in Pennsylvania, where the former president had about a 53 percent chance of winning; Harris had a 47 percent chance of winning it. Trump held more significant leads in other swing states Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina.

Silver correctly predicted 49 of 50 states in the 2008 presidential election.

Meanwhile, aggregate polls from The New York Times, The Hill, and RealClearPolitics show Trump leading Harris by between 1 and 2 points. However, they also show Trump leading Harris at a smaller margin than his lead over Biden prior to the president's exit from the race.

Harris is expected to decide who will be her running mate in the coming days. The two will then travel to key swing states across the U.S. next week as she aims to sustain the momentum her campaign garnered since she replaced Biden at the top of the ticket. The Democratic National Convention will be held the following week in Chicago.

Trump, meanwhile, has two events on his calendar for the next week. According to his campaign website, he is set to hold campaign rallies in Atlanta, Georgia, on August 3, and in Bozeman, Montana, on August 9.
 

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