^Well...not really, the polls have been wrong the last 2 times. In 2000 they said that Gore had the thing won a week before, Bush came back and won. In 2004, every poll had Kerry winning by a VERY large margin...but behold, they were wrong, and Bush won. Most of the time, these polls are made up by "experts" who go off of older elections. So these things are never 100%...most of the time, these things aren't even close. So I wouldn't be surprised to see this end up very, very close.