What sense would it make to claim a role that you would be caught for if you don't kill your own team? Would be detrimental to his play.
Right, so the logical conclusion is that he’s town
it marginally makes sense as mafia, because he can shoot a teammate and ride the clear. He’s in 100% control of his own destiny there
as an indy it makes no sense unless it’s a Hail Mary as he doesn’t have control over the outcome and if he gets it wrong it’s game over
I don’t think he was in Hail Mary territory at all